Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlo Prater vs Melvin Guillard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Melvin Guillard
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Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1521Average

Tale of the tape

35-25-1Record32-22-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Neo DojoTeamGenesis Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlo PraterNow 1530
If they win+12→ 1542
If they lose-12→ 1518
Melvin GuillardNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
47%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
35%
Strike defense
66%
0.43
Takedown avg.
1.30
9%
Takedown accuracy
64%
57%
Takedown defense
61%
1.72
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Carlo PraterMelvin Guillard
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
21 (66%)
19 (58%)
Submission
2 (6%)
12 (36%)
Decision
9 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Melvin Guillard53%
Carlo Prater 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Melvin Guillard a 53% favorite over Carlo Prater in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlo Prater's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1521), separated by just 9 points.

Carlo Prater enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Carlo Prater finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.