Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Barreto vs Kent Mafileo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight248 lbs
TBDTeamRise Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos BarretoNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
Kent MafileoNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlos BarretoKent Mafileo
155016001650200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
5 (36%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kent Mafileo66%
Carlos Barreto 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kent Mafileo a 66% favorite over Carlos Barreto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1577), separated by just 4 points.

Carlos Barreto enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlos Barreto finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Kent Mafileo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.