Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Felipe vs Denzel Freeman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75,0"Reach78"
245 lbsWeight262 lbs
Life MMATeamBlackzilians

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos FelipeNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Denzel FreemanNow 1627
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.88
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
46%
Strike accuracy
62%
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
51%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos FelipeDenzel Freeman
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
6 (50%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Denzel Freeman51%
Carlos Felipe 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Denzel Freeman a 51% favorite over Carlos Felipe in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Felipe's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Carlos Felipe finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Denzel Freeman 71%.

Denzel Freeman carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.