Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Felipe vs Jeff Hughes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jeff Hughes
us

Jeff Hughes

“Lights Out”

10-4-0HeavyweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75,0"Reach40,0"
245 lbsWeight253 lbs
Life MMATeamStrong Style Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos FelipeNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Jeff HughesNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.88
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
46%
Strike accuracy
51%
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.67
51%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0.71
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
73%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos FelipeJeff Hughes
1650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
6 (50%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Felipe70%
Jeff Hughes 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Felipe a 70% favorite over Jeff Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1623), separated by just 4 points.

Jeff Hughes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlos Felipe finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Hughes 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.