Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Felipe vs Mario Neto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mario Neto
br

Mario Neto

“Sukata”

13-5-0Heavyweight

1628Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record13-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75,0"ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight229 lbs
Life MMATeamMario Sukata Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos FelipeNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Mario NetoNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.88
Sig. strikes / min
1.89
46%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.89
51%
Strike defense
71%
0
Takedown avg.
2.84
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos FelipeMario Neto
1600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (62%)
6 (50%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Felipe53%
Mario Neto 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Felipe a 53% favorite over Mario Neto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mario Neto's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.

Mario Neto enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Carlos Felipe finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mario Neto 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.