Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Hernandez vs Darrell Montague

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record13-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
VFS AcademyTeamMillennia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos HernandezNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Darrell MontagueNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
1.92
46%
Strike accuracy
26%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.38
51%
Strike defense
53%
1.60
Takedown avg.
0.72
21%
Takedown accuracy
25%
68%
Takedown defense
33%
0.18
Submission avg.
1.44

Trajectory

Carlos HernandezDarrell Montague
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
4 (40%)
Submission
5 (38%)
6 (60%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Hernandez63%
Darrell Montague 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Hernandez a 63% favorite over Darrell Montague in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1618), separated by just 9 points.

Darrell Montague enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Darrell Montague 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.