Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Hernandez vs Tyson Nam

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record23-14-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
VFS AcademyTeamSports Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos HernandezNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Tyson NamNow 1629
If they win+12→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
46%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
51%
Strike defense
65%
1.60
Takedown avg.
0
21%
Takedown accuracy
0%
68%
Takedown defense
88%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos HernandezTyson Nam
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
4 (40%)
Submission
1 (4%)
6 (60%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Hernandez66%
Tyson Nam 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Hernandez a 66% favorite over Tyson Nam in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tyson Nam's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.

Tyson Nam enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Nam 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.