Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Hernandez vs Will Campuzano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record14-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
67"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
VFS AcademyTeamCampuzano Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos HernandezNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Will CampuzanoNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
2.43
46%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
51%
Strike defense
57%
1.60
Takedown avg.
0.88
21%
Takedown accuracy
45%
68%
Takedown defense
48%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Carlos HernandezWill Campuzano
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
4 (40%)
Submission
4 (29%)
6 (60%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Hernandez60%
Will Campuzano 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Hernandez a 60% favorite over Will Campuzano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1623), separated by just 4 points.

Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Will Campuzano 71%.

Carlos Hernandez and Will Campuzano share 1 common opponent: Allan Nascimento.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2023
Allan Nascimento
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2013