Carlos Newton vs Chris Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-14-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach74.00"
174 lbsWeight170 lbs
Warrior MMA Fight TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos NewtonChris Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Brown61%
Carlos Newton 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Brown a 61% favorite over Carlos Newton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.
Carlos Newton finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Chris Brown 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.