Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Newton vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-14-0Record19-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
174 lbsWeight185 lbs
Warrior MMA Fight TeamTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos NewtonNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
David ZawadaNow 1584
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
41%
Strike accuracy
41%
1.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
45%
Strike defense
56%
2.47
Takedown avg.
0.97
71%
Takedown accuracy
33%
44%
Takedown defense
57%
0.90
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Carlos NewtonDavid Zawada
16001650200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
10 (63%)
Submission
5 (26%)
4 (25%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Newton52%
David Zawada 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Newton a 52% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.

David Zawada enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlos Newton finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.