Carlos Vera vs Cody Durden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record18-10-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
50-50 BJJTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos VeraCody Durden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cody Durden60%
Carlos Vera 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cody Durden a 60% favorite over Carlos Vera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Vera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1637), separated by just 2 points.
Carlos Vera finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Cody Durden 67%.
Carlos Vera carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.