Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Vera vs Rinya Nakamura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Vera
ec

Carlos Vera

“Pequeno”

12-4-0BantamweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record10-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
50-50 BJJTeamFreelance

What's at stake

Rinya Nakamura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Carlos Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos VeraNow 1639
If they win+19→ 1658
If they lose-13→ 1626
Rinya NakamuraNow 1710
If they win+13→ 1723
If they lose-19→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
3.53
48%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.38
46%
Strike defense
67%
0
Takedown avg.
3.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
90%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
1.65

Trajectory

Carlos VeraRinya Nakamura
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
6 (50%)
Submission
1 (10%)
5 (42%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Rinya Nakamura76%
Carlos Vera 24%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Rinya Nakamura a 76% favorite over Carlos Vera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Rinya Nakamura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1639, a 71-point edge.

Carlos Vera finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Rinya Nakamura 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.