Carlston Harris vs Dan Hardy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record25-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamTeam Rough House
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlston HarrisDan Hardy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlston Harris63%
Dan Hardy 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlston Harris a 63% favorite over Dan Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1684), separated by just 0 points.
Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Hardy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Dan Hardy 64%.
Carlston Harris carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.