Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlston Harris vs Josiah Harrell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record11-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
76"Reach68"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamGrove City BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlston HarrisNow 1684
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
Josiah HarrellNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.79
Sig. strikes / min
0
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
1.46
Takedown avg.
TBD
23%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.59
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlston HarrisJosiah Harrell
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
6 (32%)
Submission
4 (36%)
8 (42%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Josiah Harrell60%
Carlston Harris 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josiah Harrell a 60% favorite over Carlston Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1685), separated by just 1 points.

Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Josiah Harrell 91%.

Carlston Harris carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.