Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlton Minus vs Daron Cruickshank

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record23-14-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
75,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Avalanche Wrestling AssociationTeamMichigan Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlton MinusNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Daron CruickshankNow 1602
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
40%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
50%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
2.04
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
59%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Carlton MinusDaron Cruickshank
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
14 (61%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (9%)
3 (21%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlton Minus59%
Daron Cruickshank 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlton Minus a 59% favorite over Daron Cruickshank in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daron Cruickshank's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1602), separated by just 3 points.

Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Daron Cruickshank 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.