Combat Edge Intelligence

Carmelo Marrero vs Khadis Ibragimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record11-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach78"
255 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSambo Piter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carmelo MarreroNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Khadis IbragimovNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
34%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.26
54%
Strike defense
47%
3.21
Takedown avg.
0.97
37%
Takedown accuracy
30%
36%
Takedown defense
81%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Carmelo MarreroKhadis Ibragimov
1650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
7 (44%)
Submission
3 (30%)
6 (38%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Khadis Ibragimov66%
Carmelo Marrero 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Khadis Ibragimov a 66% favorite over Carmelo Marrero in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carmelo Marrero's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.

Carmelo Marrero enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carmelo Marrero finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Khadis Ibragimov 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.