Combat Edge Intelligence

Carter Williams vs Gvido Šusts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-5-0Record2-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
256 lbsWeight265 lbs
Fairtex GymTeamTBD

What's at stake

Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Carter Williams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carter WilliamsNow 1465
If they win+29→ 1494
If they lose-19→ 1446
Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+19→ 1550
If they lose-29→ 1502

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carter WilliamsGvido Šusts
1450150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
1 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts73%
Carter Williams 27%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 73% favorite over Carter Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1465, a 66-point edge.

Carter Williams finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.