Casey Kenney vs Juan Díaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-1Record16-1-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamEntram Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Casey KenneyJuan Díaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Juan Díaz63%
Casey Kenney 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Juan Díaz a 63% favorite over Casey Kenney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1726), separated by just 1 points.
Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Juan Díaz enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Casey Kenney finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Juan Díaz 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.