Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey Olson vs Toshiomi Kazama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Casey Olson
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Casey Olson

“The Underdog”

14-4-0BantamweightTPF

1620Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record11-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach 69"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
The PitTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Casey OlsonNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Toshiomi KazamaNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.80
Sig. strikes / min
1.72
63%
Strike accuracy
53%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
100%
Strike defense
43%
4
Takedown avg.
1.68
67%
Takedown accuracy
13%
100%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Casey OlsonToshiomi Kazama
160016502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
4 (29%)
Submission
6 (55%)
6 (43%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Toshiomi Kazama51%
Casey Olson 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Toshiomi Kazama a 51% favorite over Casey Olson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1622), separated by just 2 points.

Casey Olson finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Toshiomi Kazama 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.