Ce Liu vs Ebenezer Fontes Braga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record13-7-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'0"
77.6"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight199 lbs
CFPTeamGracie Barra Combat Team
What's at stake
Ce Liu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ebenezer Fontes Braga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1572
If they lose-25→ 1524
If they win+17→ 1551
If they lose-15→ 1519
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ce LiuEbenezer Fontes Braga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ce Liu62%
Ebenezer Fontes Braga 38%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ce Liu a 62% favorite over Ebenezer Fontes Braga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Ce Liu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1549 to 1534, a 15-point edge.
Ce Liu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ebenezer Fontes Braga 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.