Combat Edge Intelligence

Ce Liu vs Ednaldo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ce Liu
cn

Ce Liu

3-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1549Average

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record22-13-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'7"
77.6"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
CFPTeamChampion Team

What's at stake

Ce Liu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ednaldo Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ce LiuNow 1549
If they win+23→ 1572
If they lose-25→ 1524
Ednaldo OliveiraNow 1530
If they win+13→ 1543
If they lose-11→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.03
TBD
Strike accuracy
22%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.80
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
43%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ce LiuEdnaldo Oliveira
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
11 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Ce Liu74%
Ednaldo Oliveira 26%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Ce Liu a 74% favorite over Ednaldo Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Ce Liu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1549 to 1530, a 19-point edge.

Ce Liu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ednaldo Oliveira 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.