Ce Liu vs Ike Villanueva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record18-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
77.6"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
CFPTeam4oz. Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1572
If they lose-25→ 1524
If they win+17→ 1552
If they lose-15→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ce LiuIke Villanueva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ce Liu67%
Ike Villanueva 33%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ce Liu a 67% favorite over Ike Villanueva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1535), separated by just 14 points.
Ike Villanueva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ce Liu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ike Villanueva 83%.
Ce Liu carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.