Combat Edge Intelligence

Cesar Arzamendia vs Dedrek Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71,0"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Paraguay Combat TeamTeamAnchorage Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cesar ArzamendiaNow 1499
If they win+16→ 1515
If they lose-16→ 1483
Dedrek SandersNow 1499
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
7.32
Takedown avg.
TBD
75%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.44
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cesar ArzamendiaDedrek Sanders
145015001550202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (40%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dedrek Sanders57%
Cesar Arzamendia 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 57% favorite over Cesar Arzamendia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cesar Arzamendia's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1499), separated by just 0 points.

Cesar Arzamendia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cesar Arzamendia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Dedrek Sanders 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.