Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Laprise vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad Laprise
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Chad Laprise

“The Disciple”

13-4-0WelterweightUFC

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record21-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71,0"Reach70,5"
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamH2O MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Olivier Aubin-Mercier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Chad Laprise carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chad LapriseNow 1644
If they win+22→ 1666
If they lose-10→ 1634
Olivier Aubin-MercierNow 1793
If they win+7→ 1800
If they lose-17→ 1776

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
43%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
65%
Strike defense
56%
1.05
Takedown avg.
2.36
55%
Takedown accuracy
34%
79%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Chad LapriseOlivier Aubin-Mercier
16501700175018002017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
4 (19%)
1 (8%)
Submission
8 (38%)
5 (38%)
Decision
9 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Olivier Aubin-Mercier79%
Chad Laprise 21%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Olivier Aubin-Mercier a 79% favorite over Chad Laprise in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Olivier Aubin-Mercier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1793 to 1644, a 149-point edge.

Chad Laprise enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Chad Laprise finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Olivier Aubin-Mercier 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.