Chad Laprise vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record21-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71,0"Reach70,5"
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamH2O MMA
What's at stake
Olivier Aubin-Mercier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Chad Laprise carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1667
If they lose-9→ 1635
If they win+7→ 1801
If they lose-17→ 1777
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad LapriseOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Olivier Aubin-Mercier84%
Chad Laprise 16%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Olivier Aubin-Mercier a 84% favorite over Chad Laprise in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Olivier Aubin-Mercier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1794 to 1644, a 150-point edge.
Chad Laprise enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Chad Laprise finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Olivier Aubin-Mercier 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.