Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Leonhardt vs Hazem Kayyali

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record2-0-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gladiators AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad LeonhardtNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Hazem KayyaliNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chad LeonhardtHazem Kayyali
15502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (50%)
2 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Hazem Kayyali60%
Chad Leonhardt 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Hazem Kayyali a 60% favorite over Chad Leonhardt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1552), separated by just 6 points.

Chad Leonhardt enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chad Leonhardt finishes 78% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.