Chance Farrar vs Erik Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record9-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TBDTeamAntonio Silva Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chance FarrarErik Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erik Silva55%
Chance Farrar 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Erik Silva a 55% favorite over Chance Farrar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1580), separated by just 2 points.
Erik Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chance Farrar finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Erik Silva 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.