Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlene Gellner vs Gloria de Paula

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-4-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'5"
TBDReach67"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Bay Area Fight AcademyTeamFabiana Belai Academia

What's at stake

Gloria de Paula is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Charlene Gellner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charlene GellnerNow 1419
If they win+29→ 1448
If they lose-19→ 1400
Gloria de PaulaNow 1494
If they win+13→ 1507
If they lose-19→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.89
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.74
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Charlene GellnerGloria de Paula
140014501500155020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
1 (100%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Gloria de Paula67%
Charlene Gellner 33%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Gloria de Paula a 67% favorite over Charlene Gellner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Gloria de Paula holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1419, a 75-point edge.

Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gloria de Paula 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.