Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Johnson vs Dustin Ortiz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record20-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
70"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamCombat Sports Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charles JohnsonNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680
Dustin OrtizNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.77
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.17
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.51
Takedown avg.
3.01
17%
Takedown accuracy
36%
69%
Takedown defense
53%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Charles JohnsonDustin Ortiz
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (42%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
3 (16%)
Submission
5 (25%)
8 (42%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Johnson66%
Dustin Ortiz 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 66% favorite over Dustin Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1687), separated by just 5 points.

Charles Johnson finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Ortiz 65%.

Charles Johnson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.