Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Oliveira vs David Teymur

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — David Teymur carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles OliveiraNow 1812
If they win+8→ 1820
If they lose-16→ 1796
David TeymurNow 1678
If they win+22→ 1700
If they lose-10→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1766 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
4.69
55%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.53
49%
Strike defense
55%
2.22
Takedown avg.
0.94
40%
Takedown accuracy
33%
55%
Takedown defense
78%
2.61
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Charles OliveiraDavid Teymur
1600170018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
22 (59%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (14%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Oliveira74%
David Teymur 26%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 74% favorite over David Teymur in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1678, a 134-point edge.

Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, David Teymur 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.