Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Rosa vs Mads Burnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Charles Rosa
us

Charles Rosa

“Boston Strong”

19-8-0Featherweight

1666Good

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
69"Reach68.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Combat GymTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charles RosaNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
Mads BurnellNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.08
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
36%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
47%
Strike defense
51%
1.67
Takedown avg.
3.45
35%
Takedown accuracy
47%
38%
Takedown defense
22%
1
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Charles RosaMads Burnell
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
11 (58%)
Submission
9 (47%)
3 (16%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Mads Burnell66%
Charles Rosa 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mads Burnell a 66% favorite over Charles Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1667), separated by just 1 points.

Charles Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Charles Rosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Mads Burnell 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.