Charles Rosa vs Michael Trizano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record10-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
69"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight148 lbs
American Combat GymTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles RosaMichael Trizano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Trizano66%
Charles Rosa 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Trizano a 66% favorite over Charles Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Charles Rosa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.
Charles Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Charles Rosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Michael Trizano 50%.
Michael Trizano carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.