Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Kohler vs Mickey Gall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-1Record7-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach74"
165 lbsWeight170 lbs
San Diego Fight ClubTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie KohlerNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Mickey GallNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
33%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
47%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
1.15
0%
Takedown accuracy
32%
0%
Takedown defense
38%
4.04
Submission avg.
1.58

Trajectory

Charlie KohlerMickey Gall
15001550160020052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (63%)
Submission
6 (86%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Charlie Kohler52%
Mickey Gall 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Kohler a 52% favorite over Mickey Gall in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mickey Gall's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1565), separated by just 4 points.

Mickey Gall enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Charlie Kohler finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mickey Gall 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.