Chase Beebe vs Connor Matthews
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-1Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
137 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamLakeville MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase BeebeConnor Matthews
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Connor Matthews63%
Chase Beebe 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Connor Matthews a 63% favorite over Chase Beebe in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chase Beebe's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1562), separated by just 0 points.
Chase Beebe enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chase Beebe finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Connor Matthews 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.