Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Gormley vs Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach42,5"
264 lbsWeight253 lbs
Reign MMATeamTata Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase GormleyNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.06
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
34%
Strike accuracy
44%
17.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
45%
Strike defense
47%
3.09
Takedown avg.
3.09
33%
Takedown accuracy
37%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
3.09
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Chase GormleyLuis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira
155016002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
2 (14%)
Submission
8 (50%)
8 (57%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira55%
Chase Gormley 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira a 55% favorite over Chase Gormley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chase Gormley's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1549), separated by just 7 points.

Chase Gormley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chase Gormley finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.