Che Mills vs Tyler Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record13-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Trojan Free FightersTeamMemphis Judo and Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Che MillsTyler Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyler Hill53%
Che Mills 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyler Hill a 53% favorite over Che Mills in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Che Mills's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1552), separated by just 3 points.
Che Mills enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Che Mills finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Hill 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.