Cheick Kongo vs Derrick Lewis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-12-2Record29-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
242 lbsWeight264 lbs
Kongo Smashin' ClubTeamMain Street Boxing & Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cheick KongoDerrick Lewis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derrick Lewis66%
Cheick Kongo 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Derrick Lewis a 66% favorite over Cheick Kongo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cheick Kongo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1744), separated by just 5 points.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cheick Kongo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Derrick Lewis 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.