Combat Edge Intelligence

Chequina Noso Pedro vs Dominic Waters

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record10-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BA ArmyTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chequina Noso PedroNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Dominic WatersNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
23%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
53%
TBD
Takedown defense
29%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chequina Noso PedroDominic Waters
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (20%)
5 (50%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Chequina Noso Pedro60%
Dominic Waters 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chequina Noso Pedro a 60% favorite over Dominic Waters in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dominic Waters's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.

Chequina Noso Pedro finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Dominic Waters 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.