Combat Edge Intelligence

Chequina Noso Pedro vs Gil Castillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record8-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BA ArmyTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chequina Noso PedroNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Gil CastilloNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chequina Noso PedroGil Castillo
1550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (25%)
5 (50%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Chequina Noso Pedro59%
Gil Castillo 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chequina Noso Pedro a 59% favorite over Gil Castillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1576), separated by just 2 points.

Chequina Noso Pedro finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gil Castillo 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.