Combat Edge Intelligence

Chequina Noso Pedro vs Justin Guthrie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record18-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BA ArmyTeamColorado Fight Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chequina Noso PedroNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Justin GuthrieNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.78
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.46
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.11
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chequina Noso PedroJustin Guthrie
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
4 (40%)
Submission
7 (39%)
5 (50%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Chequina Noso Pedro60%
Justin Guthrie 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chequina Noso Pedro a 60% favorite over Justin Guthrie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1575), separated by just 3 points.

Chequina Noso Pedro finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Justin Guthrie 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.