Combat Edge Intelligence

Chequina Noso Pedro vs Kevin Burns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Burns
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Kevin Burns

“The Fire”

12-7-0WelterweightVFC

1580Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record12-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BA ArmyTeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chequina Noso PedroNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Kevin BurnsNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.30
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.28
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
48%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Chequina Noso PedroKevin Burns
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
4 (40%)
Submission
8 (67%)
5 (50%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Chequina Noso Pedro60%
Kevin Burns 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chequina Noso Pedro a 60% favorite over Kevin Burns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Burns's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1580), separated by just 2 points.

Chequina Noso Pedro finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Burns 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.