Combat Edge Intelligence

Chequina Noso Pedro vs Takashi Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BA ArmyTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chequina Noso PedroNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Takashi SatoNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
61%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chequina Noso PedroTakashi Sato
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (13%)
5 (50%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Chequina Noso Pedro60%
Takashi Sato 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chequina Noso Pedro a 60% favorite over Takashi Sato in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takashi Sato's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.

Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Chequina Noso Pedro finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.