Combat Edge Intelligence

Chersi Dudaev vs Jorge Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jorge Rivera
us

Jorge Rivera

“El Conquistador”

20-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

18-4-0Record20-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamRivera Athletic Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chersi DudaevNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Jorge RiveraNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.91
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Chersi DudaevJorge Rivera
1650170020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
14 (70%)
8 (44%)
Submission
2 (10%)
8 (44%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Chersi Dudaev63%
Jorge Rivera 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chersi Dudaev a 63% favorite over Jorge Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1681), separated by just 0 points.

Chersi Dudaev finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Rivera 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.