Combat Edge Intelligence

Chibwikem Onyenegecha vs Farshad Nazarnia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
The Forge MMATeamThe Unit MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chibwikem OnyenegechaNow 1614
If they win+24→ 1638
If they lose-24→ 1590
Farshad NazarniaNow 1611
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.60
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chibwikem OnyenegechaFarshad Nazarnia
150015501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (20%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Farshad Nazarnia60%
Chibwikem Onyenegecha 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Farshad Nazarnia a 60% favorite over Chibwikem Onyenegecha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chibwikem Onyenegecha's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1611), separated by just 3 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Chibwikem Onyenegecha finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Farshad Nazarnia 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.