Combat Edge Intelligence

Chico Camus vs Lucas Rocha

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record18-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'2"
TBDReach64"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
RoufusportTeamRenovacao Coari Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chico CamusNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Lucas RochaNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.58
Sig. strikes / min
5.09
41%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.67
65%
Strike defense
56%
0.77
Takedown avg.
1.64
40%
Takedown accuracy
75%
72%
Takedown defense
76%
0.39
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chico CamusLucas Rocha
16501700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
4 (21%)
Submission
4 (22%)
11 (58%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Rocha70%
Chico Camus 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Rocha a 70% favorite over Chico Camus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1678), separated by just 4 points.

Chico Camus finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Rocha 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.