Combat Edge Intelligence

Chidi Njokuani vs Hayato Sakurai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record38-13-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'7"
80"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
One Kick's GymTeamMach Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chidi NjokuaniNow 1697
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
Hayato SakuraiNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
0.28
62%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
25.03
58%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
76%
Takedown defense
57%
0.14
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chidi NjokuaniHayato Sakurai
17002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
12 (32%)
1 (4%)
Submission
10 (26%)
9 (36%)
Decision
16 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Chidi Njokuani72%
Hayato Sakurai 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Chidi Njokuani a 72% favorite over Hayato Sakurai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hayato Sakurai's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1701), separated by just 4 points.

Chidi Njokuani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chidi Njokuani finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Hayato Sakurai 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.