Combat Edge Intelligence

Chidi Njokuani vs Roan Carneiro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record21-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
80"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
One Kick's GymTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chidi NjokuaniNow 1697
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
Roan CarneiroNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
1.46
62%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.82
58%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
3.05
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
76%
Takedown defense
83%
0.14
Submission avg.
1.45

Trajectory

Chidi NjokuaniRoan Carneiro
1700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
1 (4%)
Submission
9 (43%)
9 (36%)
Decision
9 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Chidi Njokuani72%
Roan Carneiro 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chidi Njokuani a 72% favorite over Roan Carneiro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roan Carneiro's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1700), separated by just 3 points.

Chidi Njokuani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chidi Njokuani finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Roan Carneiro 57%.

Chidi Njokuani carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.