Chris Avila vs Joe Pearson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record45-31-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
39,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamTeam Extreme
What's at stake
Chris Avila is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Joe Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1508
If they lose-19→ 1476
If they win+14→ 1450
If they lose-10→ 1426
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris AvilaJoe Pearson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Avila81%
Joe Pearson 19%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 81% favorite over Joe Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Chris Avila holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1495 to 1436, a 59-point edge.
Joe Pearson enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Joe Pearson 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.