Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Avila vs Mark Eddiva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record6-3-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
39,0"Reach39,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamLakay MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+16→ 1511
If they lose-16→ 1479
Mark EddivaNow 1502
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
30%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
49%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
1.45
0%
Takedown accuracy
22%
46%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris AvilaMark Eddiva
150015501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Avila62%
Mark Eddiva 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 62% favorite over Mark Eddiva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Eddiva's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1495 vs 1502), separated by just 7 points.

Mark Eddiva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mark Eddiva 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.