Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Avila vs Ning Guangyou

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record5-4-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'5"
39,0"Reach64.00
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+15→ 1510
If they lose-17→ 1478
Ning GuangyouNow 1483
If they win+25→ 1508
If they lose-23→ 1460

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
2.66
30%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.91
49%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
1.09
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
46%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Chris AvilaNing Guangyou
1500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
2 (25%)
Submission
1 (20%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Avila68%
Ning Guangyou 32%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 68% favorite over Ning Guangyou in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1495 vs 1483), separated by just 12 points.

Ning Guangyou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ning Guangyou 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.