Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Avila vs Rob Whiteford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Whiteford

Rob Whiteford

“The Hammer”

17-5-0FeatherweightPFL

1509Average

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record17-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
39,0"Reach69.00
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamDinky Ninjas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+17→ 1512
If they lose-15→ 1480
Rob WhitefordNow 1509
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
2.33
30%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.99
49%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
1.90
0%
Takedown accuracy
30%
46%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris AvilaRob Whiteford
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
2 (25%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (13%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Avila62%
Rob Whiteford 38%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 62% favorite over Rob Whiteford in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rob Whiteford's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1495 vs 1509), separated by just 14 points.

Rob Whiteford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rob Whiteford 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.